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Trends from the Wagner Group’s presence in the Central African Republic could foretell what is to come in Mali—and the outlook is not good for civilians.

Following a recent coup, Mali’s humanitarian crisis is on the brink of a much darker chapter unless immediate action is taken.

Soaring violence and displacement are taking over much of the Sahel. France, the most influential international player in the region, is failing to use its sway to quell the crisis.